Sao Tome and Principe vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 0
STP
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
STP
1 - 0
ETH
11%
17%
72%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
STP
0 - 3
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
38 | 82 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
CPV
7 - 1
STP
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
STP
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
EGY
2 - 0
LBY
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
RWA
1 - 3
LBY
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 0
RWA
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
LBY
0 - 4
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |