EC Qualifying Grupo H. Jor. 6

San Marino vs Slovenia analysis

San Marino Slovenia
16 ELO 80
29.3% Tilt 45.5%
12379º General ELO ranking 272º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
9.2%
San Marino
19.8%
Draw
71%
Slovenia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
San Marino
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
71%
Win probability
Slovenia
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
San Marino
+1%
+19%
Slovenia

ELO progression

San Marino
Slovenia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

San Marino
San Marino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2023
DNK
Denmark
4 - 0
San Marino
SMR
82%
12%
6%
16 90 74 0
19 Jun. 2023
FIN
Finland
6 - 0
San Marino
SMR
81%
14%
5%
16 81 65 0
16 Jun. 2023
SMR
San Marino
0 - 3
Kazakhstan
KAZ
9%
17%
75%
16 62 46 0
26 Mar. 2023
SVN
Slovenia
2 - 0
San Marino
SMR
87%
10%
2%
16 80 64 0
23 Mar. 2023
SMR
San Marino
0 - 2
Northern Ireland
NIR
9%
19%
72%
16 77 61 0

Matches

Slovenia
Slovenia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2023
SVN
Slovenia
4 - 2
Northern Ireland
NIR
57%
24%
19%
80 76 4 0
19 Jun. 2023
SVN
Slovenia
1 - 1
Denmark
DNK
14%
22%
64%
80 90 10 0
16 Jun. 2023
FIN
Finland
2 - 0
Slovenia
SVN
46%
27%
27%
80 80 0 0
26 Mar. 2023
SVN
Slovenia
2 - 0
San Marino
SMR
87%
10%
2%
80 16 64 0
23 Mar. 2023
KAZ
Kazakhstan
1 - 2
Slovenia
SVN
21%
25%
54%
80 61 19 0
X