San Marino vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
67.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
SMR
0 - 1
MDA
18%
22%
59%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
CGO
1 - 0
SMR
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1999 |
GAB
1 - 0
SMR
77%
15%
7%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
CHA
5 - 0
SMR
23%
21%
56%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ISR
8 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
LVA
0 - 1
SCO
14%
24%
62%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2000 |
IRL
1 - 2
SCO
46%
28%
26%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
NED
0 - 0
SCO
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
SCO
0 - 2
FRA
17%
27%
56%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
ENG
0 - 1
SCO
68%
21%
11%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |