Russia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
HRV
1 - 0
RUS
55%
23%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
RUS
6 - 0
CYP
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
SVN
1 - 2
RUS
22%
25%
54%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
RUS
1 - 0
SVK
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
RUS
2 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SCT
1 - 1
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
POL
1 - 2
HUN
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
AND
1 - 4
POL
6%
15%
80%
|
87 | 35 | 52 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 1
POL
14%
21%
65%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 18 | 69 | 0 |