Romania vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ROU
3 - 4
UKR
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
COD
1 - 1
ROU
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ROU
0 - 0
ESP
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ROU
1 - 0
LTU
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
ROU
57%
25%
18%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
SVK
3 - 1
GEO
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
GEO
1 - 1
KAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 2
GEO
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
GEO
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DEU
2 - 1
GEO
90%
8%
2%
|
73 | 95 | 22 | -1 |