AFCON Qualifying Group F Round 5

Rwanda vs Mozambique analysis

Rwanda Mozambique
64 ELO 59
-16.2% Tilt -18.7%
2775º General ELO ranking 2546º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.2%
Rwanda
25.2%
Draw
27.5%
Mozambique

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
Rwanda
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.6%
Win probability
Mozambique
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rwanda
+10%
+10%
Mozambique

ELO progression

Rwanda
Mozambique
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rwanda
Rwanda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2021
GUI
Guinea
1 - 0
Rwanda
RWA
69%
19%
12%
65 74 9 0
26 Jan. 2021
TOG
Togo
2 - 3
Rwanda
RWA
45%
26%
28%
64 65 1 +1
22 Jan. 2021
MAR
Morocco
0 - 0
Rwanda
RWA
77%
16%
7%
64 87 23 0
18 Jan. 2021
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 0
Uganda
UGA
28%
28%
44%
64 74 10 0
12 Jan. 2021
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 1
Congo
CGO
32%
26%
42%
64 68 4 0

Matches

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2020
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 2
Cameroon
CMR
16%
26%
58%
60 84 24 0
12 Nov. 2020
CMR
Cameroon
4 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
73%
19%
8%
61 84 23 -1
13 Oct. 2020
ANG
Angola
3 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
54%
24%
22%
62 71 9 -1
08 Oct. 2020
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 0
Guinea-Bissau
GNB
56%
23%
21%
61 52 9 +1
18 Nov. 2019
CPV
Cape Verde
2 - 2
Mozambique
MOZ
51%
24%
25%
61 67 6 0