CAF Qualifying Grupo F. Jor. 5

Rwanda vs Mozambique analysis

Rwanda Mozambique
63 ELO 57
-16.2% Tilt -18.7%
2142º General ELO ranking 2322º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.3%
Rwanda
25.1%
Draw
26.6%
Mozambique

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
Rwanda
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.6%
Win probability
Mozambique
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rwanda
+11%
+22%
Mozambique

ELO progression

Rwanda
Mozambique
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rwanda
Rwanda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jan. 2021
GIN
Guinea
1 - 0
Rwanda
RWA
69%
19%
12%
63 72 9 0
26 Jan. 2021
TGO
Togo
2 - 3
Rwanda
RWA
46%
26%
28%
62 63 1 +1
22 Jan. 2021
MAR
Morocco
0 - 0
Rwanda
RWA
78%
16%
6%
61 87 26 +1
18 Jan. 2021
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 0
Uganda
UGA
28%
28%
44%
61 72 11 0
12 Jan. 2021
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 1
Congo
COG
32%
26%
42%
62 66 4 -1

Matches

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2020
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 2
Cameroon
CMR
15%
26%
59%
58 82 24 0
12 Nov. 2020
CMR
Cameroon
4 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
72%
19%
9%
58 82 24 0
13 Oct. 2020
AGO
Angola
3 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
54%
24%
22%
59 68 9 -1
08 Oct. 2020
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 0
Guinea-Bissau
GNB
56%
23%
21%
59 50 9 0
18 Nov. 2019
CPV
Cape Verde
2 - 2
Mozambique
MOZ
51%
24%
25%
59 65 6 0
X