Ireland vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
IRL
1 - 0
HRV
52%
26%
22%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
IRL
2 - 0
FRO
92%
7%
1%
|
93 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 0
IRL
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 100 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
IRL
37%
28%
35%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
IRL
3 - 0
CYP
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
LUX
0 - 5
PRT
14%
24%
62%
|
96 | 35 | 61 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
PRT
7 - 1
RUS
67%
20%
14%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LIE
2 - 2
PRT
5%
17%
77%
|
96 | 15 | 81 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
PRT
4 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
96 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
LVA
0 - 2
PRT
14%
26%
61%
|
96 | 74 | 22 | 0 |