Catar vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
49.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
QAT
2 - 0
MYS
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
QAT
1 - 0
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
BHR
1 - 0
QAT
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
QAT
2 - 1
OMN
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
QAT
1 - 3
ARE
47%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CHL
2 - 1
EGY
61%
22%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
4 - 2
EGY
50%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
GHA
3 - 0
EGY
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 2
EGY
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
GEO
0 - 0
EGY
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |