Portugal vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
EGY
74%
16%
9%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
USA
66%
20%
15%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
KSA
84%
12%
5%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
SUI
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
AND
0 - 2
POR
7%
17%
77%
|
92 | 39 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
NED
0 - 1
ENG
50%
23%
27%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
ROU
0 - 3
NED
22%
23%
55%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
SCO
0 - 1
NED
17%
22%
60%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
NED
2 - 0
SWE
68%
19%
13%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BLR
1 - 3
NED
11%
19%
71%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |