Portugal vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
66.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
CZE
0 - 1
POR
33%
25%
43%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
NED
26%
23%
51%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
DEN
2 - 3
POR
38%
25%
38%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
POR
66%
18%
15%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
TUR
70%
18%
12%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
65%
20%
15%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2012 |
CRO
0 - 1
ESP
11%
16%
73%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 0
IRL
81%
13%
6%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
CHN
86%
11%
4%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |