Portugal vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LUX
0 - 2
PRT
7%
17%
76%
|
92 | 51 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
PRT
6 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
3%
|
92 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
UKR
2 - 1
PRT
24%
26%
51%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
PRT
3 - 0
LUX
88%
10%
3%
|
92 | 52 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
LTU
1 - 5
PRT
7%
20%
73%
|
92 | 57 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
HRV
2 - 1
GEO
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HRV
3 - 1
SVK
65%
20%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
WLS
1 - 1
HRV
20%
25%
54%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
HRV
3 - 0
HUN
70%
19%
12%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
AZE
1 - 1
HRV
8%
21%
71%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |