Poland vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
POL
4 - 1
MKD
70%
19%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
POL
1 - 3
URU
34%
26%
40%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
ENG
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
RSA
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
MDA
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ROU
2 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
ROU
1 - 4
NED
20%
23%
57%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
TUR
0 - 1
ROU
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ROU
4 - 0
AND
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 44 | 46 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
ROU
14%
23%
63%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |