Poland vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
POL
0 - 1
LVA
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SMR
0 - 2
POL
1%
10%
88%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
POL
1 - 1
BEL
34%
26%
40%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2002 |
POL
3 - 1
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2002 |
POR
4 - 0
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
EST
3 - 2
NZL
39%
25%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
1 - 0
AUS
9%
21%
70%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
3 - 0
VAN
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
86%
10%
4%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
9 - 1
PNG
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |