Peru vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
VEN
0 - 1
PER
39%
26%
36%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
80%
14%
5%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
1 - 2
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
URY
1 - 0
PRY
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 2
PRY
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
PRY
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
PRY
3 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
PRY
0 - 2
BRA
6%
15%
80%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |