Peru vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
PER
1 - 3
CHL
36%
29%
36%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
PRY
33%
29%
38%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
SLV
1 - 0
PER
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
PRY
1 - 0
PER
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2009 |
ECU
1 - 3
SLV
75%
18%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
ECU
1 - 1
PRY
42%
28%
30%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECU
1 - 1
BRA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 100 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
OMN
2 - 0
ECU
33%
28%
39%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
IRN
0 - 1
ECU
58%
24%
19%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |