Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
URY
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
URY
1 - 0
PER
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
PER
79%
14%
6%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
PER
0 - 1
ECU
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
GIN
2 - 3
CHL
16%
24%
60%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
CHL
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
HND
2 - 1
CHL
23%
26%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARG
38%
26%
37%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |