Paraguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
PAR
2 - 1
BOL
58%
25%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
40%
28%
32%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
30%
28%
42%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
4%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
COL
1 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
VEN
0 - 3
PER
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
ARG
2 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 93 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
VEN
1 - 1
ECU
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1997 |
PER
2 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |