New Zealand vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
70%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
3 - 0
VUT
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
6 - 1
SLB
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
9 - 1
PNG
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
4 - 0
PYF
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
AUS
4 - 1
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
2 - 1
PYF
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
8 - 0
FJI
83%
13%
4%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
11 - 0
NCL
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 39 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
2 - 0
VUT
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 35 | 55 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
URY
3 - 0
AUS
50%
25%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |