Nigeria vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1998 |
NGA
1 - 0
BGR
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1998 |
ESP
2 - 3
NGA
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
NLD
5 - 1
NGA
82%
13%
4%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1998 |
YUG
3 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
DEU
1 - 0
NGA
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1998 |
ESP
0 - 0
PRY
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1998 |
PRY
0 - 0
BGR
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
BEL
1 - 0
PRY
61%
23%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
3 - 2
PRY
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1998 |
NLD
5 - 1
PRY
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |