Nigeria vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
NGA
0 - 1
TUN
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1977 |
EGY
3 - 1
NGA
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
NGA
4 - 0
EGY
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
TUN
0 - 0
NGA
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
NGA
2 - 1
GHA
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1977 |
NGA
7 - 0
BEN
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
BEN
2 - 5
GHA
33%
22%
46%
|
37 | 76 | 39 | +2 |