AFCON Qualifying Group I Round 2

Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau analysis

Mozambique Guinea-Bissau
64 ELO 58
-19.9% Tilt -2.1%
2547º General ELO ranking 4052º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.1%
Mozambique
24.9%
Draw
35%
Guinea-Bissau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
Mozambique
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35%
Win probability
Guinea-Bissau
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mozambique
+7%
-28%
Guinea-Bissau

ELO progression

Mozambique
Guinea-Bissau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2024
MLI
Mali
1 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
73%
18%
9%
63 81 18 0
07 Jul. 2024
COM
Comoros
2 - 2
Mozambique
MOZ
28%
25%
47%
64 58 6 -1
05 Jul. 2024
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 0
Namibia
NAM
32%
28%
41%
63 68 5 +1
02 Jul. 2024
MOZ
Mozambique
3 - 1
Botswana
BOT
46%
28%
26%
62 61 1 +1
29 Jun. 2024
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 0
Swaziland
SWZ
54%
25%
21%
63 54 9 -1

Matches

Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Sep. 2024
GNB
Guinea-Bissau
1 - 0
Swaziland
SWZ
43%
24%
33%
58 54 4 0
10 Jun. 2024
GNB
Guinea-Bissau
1 - 1
Egypt
EGY
8%
17%
75%
57 85 28 +1
06 Jun. 2024
GNB
Guinea-Bissau
0 - 0
Ethiopia
ETH
27%
23%
50%
57 60 3 0
25 Mar. 2024
GNB
Guinea-Bissau
2 - 1
Sudan
SDN
31%
25%
44%
56 61 5 +1
22 Mar. 2024
SDN
Sudan
1 - 0
Guinea-Bissau
GNB
44%
24%
33%
57 60 3 -1