Mongolia vs Kyrgyzstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
JPN
6 - 0
MNG
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 88 | 60 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MNG
0 - 1
TJK
6%
11%
83%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
MNG
1 - 0
MMR
11%
16%
73%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +5 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
BRN
2 - 1
MNG
34%
21%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
MNG
2 - 0
BRN
58%
20%
23%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kyrgyzstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
KGZ
7 - 0
MMR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
TJK
1 - 0
KGZ
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
KGZ
2 - 2
PSE
32%
26%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
ARE
3 - 2
KGZ
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
KGZ
3 - 1
PHL
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |