Mexico vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
MEX
0 - 0
PER
66%
21%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
66%
22%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
2 - 0
BRD
22%
26%
53%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 0
ENG
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 1
ITA
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
MEX
0 - 0
PER
66%
21%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1985 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
75%
18%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
PER
1 - 0
ARG
23%
28%
49%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
PER
4 - 1
VEN
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
PER
0 - 0
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |