Mexico vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 3
URY
42%
26%
33%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 1
NGA
69%
20%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
GTM
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
MEX
2 - 0
SLV
82%
14%
5%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
HND
0 - 1
MEX
12%
21%
67%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 0
NGA
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 1
ARG
20%
24%
55%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
PRY
3 - 1
ECU
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
ECU
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 1
BRA
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |