Mexico vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
MEX
1 - 1
CAN
77%
16%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 1
MEX
6%
18%
75%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 1
MEX
12%
21%
67%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
MEX
2 - 1
JAM
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
HND
0 - 0
CRI
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
HND
1 - 4
USA
12%
22%
66%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
SLV
0 - 0
HND
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 1
HND
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |