Mauritania vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
51.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
CPV
1 - 0
MRT
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MRT
1 - 0
DZA
12%
20%
68%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MRT
2 - 3
AGO
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
BFA
1 - 0
MRT
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 0
MRT
78%
15%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MLI
1 - 2
CIV
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 1
BFA
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
NAM
0 - 0
MLI
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
1 - 1
MLI
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
ZAF
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |