Mauritania vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 2
MRT
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MRT
1 - 0
MUS
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MRT
1 - 1
NER
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MRT
2 - 4
GAB
13%
19%
69%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BDI
3 - 2
MRT
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
GNQ
1 - 2
ESP
2%
10%
88%
|
54 | 98 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SLE
3 - 2
GNQ
58%
23%
18%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
GNQ
1 - 1
TUN
11%
22%
67%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CPV
3 - 0
GNQ
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
GNQ
0 - 1
TGO
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |