Morocco vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ZAF
2 - 1
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
CPV
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LBR
2 - 3
LBY
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
GHA
3 - 1
LBR
79%
16%
6%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 2
ZAF
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ZAF
2 - 2
LBR
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBR
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | -1 |