North Macedonia vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
66.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 2
ISR
28%
26%
47%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
MKD
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 3
IRN
23%
26%
52%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MKD
3 - 1
AZE
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MKD
0 - 2
BGR
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
ISR
1 - 3
ITA
22%
25%
54%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 3
FRA
35%
28%
37%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
DEU
1 - 1
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 0
ESP
19%
22%
58%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | +1 |