Lithuania vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
59%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
LTU
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MDA
1 - 1
LTU
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
LTU
1 - 0
FRO
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SRB
3 - 0
LTU
48%
28%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
LTU
2 - 0
AUT
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SRB
0 - 1
POL
21%
26%
53%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
IRL
2 - 3
POL
45%
27%
27%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
SVK
2 - 1
POL
31%
26%
43%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
POL
2 - 1
CZE
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
SMR
0 - 2
POL
8%
17%
75%
|
91 | 42 | 49 | 0 |