Lithuania vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
62.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
GRC
0 - 0
LTU
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SRB
2 - 0
LTU
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUX
1 - 0
LTU
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
LTU
1 - 1
FRO
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
LTU
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
3 - 0
BGR
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BGR
0 - 1
MNE
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LUX
0 - 0
BGR
17%
23%
61%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CYP
0 - 2
BGR
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
MKD
0 - 1
BGR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |