Liechtenstein vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
66.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
DNK
4 - 0
LIE
86%
11%
3%
|
21 | 94 | 73 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
NIR
3 - 1
LIE
83%
13%
4%
|
21 | 84 | 63 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
LIE
0 - 2
ESP
4%
14%
82%
|
21 | 99 | 78 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
LIE
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 80 | 59 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
LIE
1 - 0
LVA
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 73 | 53 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MNE
1 - 2
SWE
8%
19%
73%
|
93 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
DNK
45%
26%
29%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 0
USA
51%
26%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
SWE
5 - 0
ISL
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
DNK
0 - 3
SWE
58%
23%
19%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |