Japan vs Vietnam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
2.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
6 - 1
JOR
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
JPN
5 - 0
THA
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SYR
0 - 5
JPN
11%
20%
70%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
JPN
5 - 0
MMR
92%
7%
2%
|
90 | 36 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
JPN
2 - 0
TUN
75%
16%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vietnam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
KGZ
2 - 1
VNM
21%
22%
57%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
VNM
0 - 1
IRQ
27%
27%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
PHL
0 - 2
VNM
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
6 - 0
VNM
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
VNM
0 - 2
UZB
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |