Japan vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
17.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.9%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.9%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
8.1%
1.5%
Win probability
0.22
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
0 - 0
VEN
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
YEM
2 - 3
JPN
3%
12%
85%
|
92 | 54 | 38 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
HKG
0 - 4
JPN
4%
12%
85%
|
92 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ZAF
0 - 0
JPN
20%
26%
55%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
KOR
5 - 0
HKG
87%
11%
2%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
BHR
4 - 0
HKG
88%
9%
3%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
HKG
0 - 4
JPN
4%
12%
85%
|
54 | 92 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
JPN
6 - 0
HKG
92%
7%
1%
|
54 | 92 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
HKG
12 - 0
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |