Italy vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
ITA
1 - 1
HUN
27%
21%
53%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
CSK
2 - 1
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 2
ITA
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
ITA
1 - 1
CSK
73%
16%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
CHE
1 - 2
FRA
46%
22%
33%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
HUN
8 - 0
CHE
94%
5%
2%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
CHE
0 - 4
DEU
39%
22%
40%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1959 |
CHE
4 - 3
PRT
54%
19%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
CHE
1 - 5
YUG
41%
22%
37%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |