Italy vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.7%
2-0
19.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.6%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
ROU
0 - 2
ITA
33%
29%
38%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
ITA
1 - 2
ARG
50%
26%
24%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 0
ENG
51%
26%
23%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 0
GEO
93%
6%
1%
|
98 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
ITA
3 - 0
ROU
64%
22%
14%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
HUN
1 - 1
LTU
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
ROU
3 - 0
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2001 |
CYP
1 - 2
LTU
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
LTU
1 - 6
HUN
20%
23%
58%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
LTU
0 - 4
GEO
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |