Italy vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
21.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.2%
+2
25%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
11.7%
2.2%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 0
URY
50%
26%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
ITA
8 - 0
SMR
83%
13%
4%
|
92 | 24 | 68 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
NLD
1 - 2
ITA
55%
23%
23%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 0
ALB
79%
16%
5%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DEU
25%
23%
52%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
FIN
1 - 1
LIE
87%
11%
2%
|
26 | 78 | 52 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
LIE
0 - 3
MKD
9%
18%
72%
|
26 | 72 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 4
ITA
7%
18%
75%
|
26 | 92 | 66 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ISR
2 - 1
LIE
92%
7%
1%
|
26 | 82 | 56 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 2
ALB
10%
19%
71%
|
26 | 77 | 51 | 0 |