Italy vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
DEU
5 - 2
ITA
60%
21%
20%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
23%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 1
HUN
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 1
DEU
33%
24%
43%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 3
ARG
33%
26%
41%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 4
HUN
80%
14%
7%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
23%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
DEU
1 - 1
ENG
47%
22%
30%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 0
ENG
6%
16%
79%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 0
CIV
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |