Northern Ireland vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
AUT
2 - 1
NIR
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
NIR
1 - 2
SVK
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 0
NIR
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NIR
0 - 1
AUT
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BIH
1 - 1
NIR
68%
19%
12%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ROU
3 - 0
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ROU
5 - 3
BLR
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ROU
0 - 1
AUT
45%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
4 - 0
ROU
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ISL
2 - 1
ROU
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |