EC Qualifying Clasificación Final
Global 4-0
Northern Ireland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
SCT
5 - 1
NIR
76%
15%
10%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
NIR
1 - 3
ENG
21%
20%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
POL
0 - 2
NIR
73%
15%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 May. 1962 |
NLD
4 - 0
NIR
73%
14%
13%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
WLS
4 - 0
NIR
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
CSK
2 - 1
POL
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1962 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
61%
18%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
POL
0 - 2
NIR
73%
15%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
BGR
2 - 1
POL
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
POL
0 - 2
HUN
17%
19%
64%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | -1 |