Northern Ireland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
ROU
1 - 1
NIR
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
DEU
6 - 1
NIR
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
NIR
0 - 0
NLD
10%
19%
71%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
CZE
2 - 3
NIR
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
NLD
3 - 1
NIR
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 2
AUT
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
MLT
1 - 2
NOR
8%
18%
74%
|
85 | 45 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
NOR
4 - 0
FRO
82%
14%
4%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
ROU
1 - 1
NOR
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
ESP
8%
17%
75%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | +1 |