Iraq vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
IRQ
1 - 3
JOR
63%
23%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
2 - 1
IRQ
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
JOR
2 - 0
IRQ
29%
28%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
IRQ
2 - 1
PSE
90%
8%
2%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
IRQ
6 - 1
TWN
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 42 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
UZB
3 - 0
PSE
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
AZE
3 - 1
UZB
21%
23%
56%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TWN
0 - 1
UZB
7%
13%
80%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
UZB
1 - 1
IRQ
35%
24%
41%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
THA
4 - 1
UZB
47%
22%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |