Iraq vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
54.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IRN
0 - 1
IRQ
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
UAE
2 - 0
IRQ
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JOR
0 - 0
IRQ
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
IRQ
4 - 0
THA
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
JPN
2 - 1
IRQ
80%
14%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
THA
2 - 2
AUS
23%
25%
51%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
AUS
1 - 1
JPN
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
KSA
2 - 2
AUS
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
UAE
0 - 1
AUS
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
AUS
2 - 0
IRQ
71%
19%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |