Iraq vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 0
IRQ
60%
24%
17%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
THA
2 - 1
IRQ
40%
25%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
SYR
2 - 1
IRQ
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
QAT
2 - 0
IRQ
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
KWT
0 - 0
IRQ
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 0
IRQ
60%
24%
17%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 0
GHA
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
CHN
0 - 0
AUS
38%
28%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
SGP
0 - 0
AUS
18%
27%
55%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
AUS
3 - 0
QAT
66%
22%
12%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |