Iraq vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
THA
1 - 1
IRQ
28%
23%
49%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2007 |
IRQ
0 - 2
UZB
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
KOR
3 - 0
IRQ
60%
24%
17%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
IRQ
1 - 2
IRN
30%
27%
44%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2007 |
SYR
0 - 3
IRQ
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
AUS
1 - 1
OMA
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
SGP
0 - 3
AUS
19%
26%
55%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
AUS
1 - 2
URU
36%
28%
36%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CHN
0 - 2
AUS
38%
28%
35%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
AUS
1 - 3
DEN
26%
28%
46%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |