England vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 0
RUS
71%
19%
10%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 0
ISR
76%
17%
8%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ENG
1 - 2
GER
50%
25%
26%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
EST
0 - 3
ENG
10%
23%
68%
|
97 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
37%
26%
38%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
MKD
1 - 1
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 0
EST
81%
15%
5%
|
68 | 93 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
EST
2 - 1
AND
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
EST
0 - 3
ENG
10%
23%
68%
|
69 | 97 | 28 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
CRO
12%
23%
65%
|
69 | 93 | 24 | 0 |