England vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
ENG
3 - 0
SCO
74%
17%
9%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
SVN
0 - 0
ENG
11%
20%
69%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 0
MLT
89%
9%
2%
|
93 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SVK
0 - 1
ENG
17%
22%
61%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
ISL
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 0
MKD
89%
9%
2%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 2
ESP
7%
17%
77%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
8 - 0
LIE
91%
8%
1%
|
95 | 30 | 65 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 2
ESP
26%
24%
50%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |