EC Qualifying Playoff. Final
Global 2-1
England vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
SCT
0 - 2
ENG
20%
28%
52%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ENG
2 - 1
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
POL
0 - 0
ENG
22%
27%
51%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
ENG
6 - 0
LUX
79%
16%
5%
|
97 | 41 | 56 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
BGR
1 - 1
ENG
20%
27%
53%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
SCT
0 - 2
ENG
20%
28%
52%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
SCT
3 - 0
LTU
83%
13%
4%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1999 |
SCT
1 - 0
BIH
83%
13%
4%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
EST
0 - 0
SCT
12%
23%
66%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
BIH
1 - 2
SCT
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |