Hungary vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.1%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
HUN
1 - 2
SWE
32%
27%
42%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
POL
0 - 0
HUN
52%
25%
24%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
HUN
1 - 1
MDA
90%
8%
3%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
HUN
3 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
SWE
1 - 1
HUN
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
LUX
0 - 2
NOR
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 92 | 54 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
BIH
2 - 0
LUX
86%
10%
3%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 0
CPV
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 7
ROU
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 93 | 55 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
DNK
2 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
3%
|
38 | 94 | 56 | 0 |