Hungary vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1939 |
POL
4 - 2
HUN
40%
21%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1939 |
HUN
1 - 3
ITA
53%
21%
27%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
HUN
2 - 2
IRL
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
CHE
3 - 1
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
IRL
2 - 2
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1939 |
SVK
2 - 0
DEU
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1939 |
EST
0 - 2
DEU
25%
21%
54%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1939 |
DNK
0 - 2
DEU
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1939 |
NOR
0 - 4
DEU
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1939 |
DEU
1 - 1
IRL
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |